The top five
Alita: Battle Angel opened to #1 this weekend with a stronger-than-expected 4-day estimate of $33M, and a domestic total of $41.7M so far once you include in the Thursday opening day. Going into the weekend, there were predictions that either Lego 2 or Death Day 2 would have the best chance at the top spot, but Alita ended up with a surprisingly good lead ahead of both titles. Sadly, even these results aren’t particularly great for a movie that ended up costing somewhere in the $170M range at minimum. That’s not even counting the marketing spend, which considering the number of billboards there were here in NYC, was probably substantial. For more about Alita’s potential long-term performance, check out this piece from earlier.
The Lego Movie 2 had a comfortably soft 38% drop this weekend, leading to a four-day estimate of $27.8M. For comparison to the Lego franchise’s other February openers, the first movie dropped 28% over its Presidents Day second weekend, and Lego Batman dropped 38%. So as expected, it looks like Lego 2 won’t be holding on as well as the breakout success of the original movie. Still, having the same second weekend drop (and A- Cinemascore) of Lego Batman is a semi-decent sign. If Lego 2 follows Lego Batman from here, we’re looking at a domestic total in the low $100Ms-$110Ms. Now if only its international performance would pick up the pace a bit, the movie could avoid flop territory.
In the “solid but not excellent” category, new openers Isn’t It Romantic from WB/New Line and Happy Death Day 2U from Universal/Blumhouse launched to $16.5M and $11.4M over the four-day, respectively. Neither of these results are anything too great, but thanks to good budgeting by the studios, that’s not an issue. Isn’t It Romantic likely got a significant payday from Netflix already, which is picking up the movie’s international rights. As for Death Day 2, while the movie is significantly underperforming from expectations, it’s still going to end up in the black thanks to the trademark low budgets of Blumhouse, this time around only $9M.
Oscar-nominated drama Green Book continues to hold on incredibly well at the box office. Despite never even reaching the top five since its initial November release, good audience reception and critical praise has kept it chugging along. Don’t be surprised if this title gets yet another theater expansion soon if it gets a big prize at the Academy Awards next weekend.
In the battle of last December’s superhero movies, Aquaman still gets the top crown of course with a massive $1.1B worldwide and counting. Still, Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse notched a little victory this weekend when it overcame Aquaman at the domestic box office with $1,965,000 over the three day, versus $1,885,000 for the king of the sea.